Category: Componenta


– As expected, Componenta painted a pretty grim outlook for the FY09. We keep our REDUCE recommendation and EUR 5.50 target price intact as nearly every customer sector’s demand should remain weak or deteriorate in H1’09 and there are no signs of recovery in sight.

– High interest expenses are expected to wipe out lower EBIT effectively and to push the net result in the red. Componenta guides sales to plunge 30% YoY in ’09 and PTP to be significantly lower. Our FY09 estimates for sales are EUR 494.0m (-27% YoY) and for PTP EUR -1.5m. Furthermore, Componenta’s gearing is at staggering 355%, when outstanding capital loan is calculated in interest bearing debt. We have estimated capex to be EUR 12m in ’09. Thus the company should be able to pay debt back by some EUR 20m during FY09 (FY10 gearing est. circa 330%).

– We do not expect demand for off-road and truck sectors to recover quickly. We have revised Turkey’s sales estimates down a bit. Under the difficult situation and heavy debt load, we do not see much of upside for the share in H1’09 as the company’s P/B trades at 1.0 and EPS is expected to fall below zero. Turkish Lira is not forecasted to bring additional positive surprises, since currency is unlikely to weaken much further from the current level (EUR/TRY 2.1). On the contrary, a sudden appreciation of Lira would give an undesired hit to profit margins.

– New volumes may be gained along the year. One of the potential targets is Arvika Gjuteri’s customers, since the company has drifted in a financial distress. However, the potential impact should remain under 5% of net sales in 2009.

– Please find additional information from the attached pdf-file, or directly from the eQ Research web-service: http://research.eq.fi/ViewReport.action?resLibId=24628

Caterpillar Inc.’s fourth-quarter net income fell 32% on a steep drop in demand at year-end, as the global economic downturn worsened and some customers cancelled orders.

The heavy-machinery maker projected 2009 earnings well below analysts’ estimates and said it would cut 20,000 jobs, or about 18% of its work force, to reflect the lower demand.

[Caterpillar]

Caterpillar is encouraging dealers to cut back on inventories, which has led to order cancellations.

The company’s shares were down 11% to $31.71 in premarket trading, amid the lower-than-expected estimates.

Caterpillar said it expects 2009 earnings of $2.50 a share on revenue of $36 billion to $46 billion. Analysts were expecting earnings of $4.27 a share on revenue of $47.27 billion.

Chief Executive Jim Owens said the company saw booming demand in the first three quarters, but “then we were whipsawed in the fourth quarter as key industries were hit by a rapidly deteriorating global economy and plunging commodity prices.” View full article »

Jan. 23 (Bloomberg) — Komatsu Ltd., the world’s second- biggest maker of earthmoving equipment, cut its profit forecast 42 percent, citing slowing demand from emerging markets.

Net income will probably be 110 billion yen ($1.2 billion) in the year ending March 31, compared with its Oct. 29 outlook of 190 billion yen, the Tokyo-based company said in a statement today. That’s a 47 percent drop from last year’s results.

View full article »

Jan. 23 (Bloomberg) — Caterpillar Inc., the world’s largest maker of construction equipment, may say profit fell again as sales slowed, a pattern that might extend into 2009 even if President Barack Obama’s $825 billion stimulus package is approved.

Caterpillar, the Peoria, Illinois-based builder of iconic mustard-hued earthmovers and excavators, may say Jan. 26 that fourth-quarter net income fell 18 percent to $804.3 million, the average estimate of seven analysts polled by Bloomberg. Sales probably rose 3.5 percent to $12.56 billion, the slowest growth rate in six years.

Caterpillar, Terex Corp., Joy Global Inc. and Deere & Co., which span the mining and agricultural machine industries, are among the major heavy-equipment makers whose profit and sales estimates have been cut by Bloomberg analysts from highs as recent as last fall. Those companies report earnings during the next two months.

“2009 is shaping up to be buck-naked ugly,” Sterne Agee & Leach Inc.’s Nicholas Heymann said in a Jan. 20 note to clients. Heymann, who has already projected that earnings for industrial companies would fall on average 20 percent to 30 percent this year, now expects earnings to fall as much as 40 percent. He said he might slash still further.

Results for heavy equipment makers may come under increasing pressure if Obama’s infrastructure package, which includes $44 billion for roads, bridges, rail and transport projects, isn’t approved before the President’s Day recess next month, said Heymann, a New York-based analyst who heads Sterne Agee’s infrastructure research.

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“In the fourth quarter of 2008, CNH delivered another quarter of year-over-year increases in operating profit, while for the full year our Equipment Operations Gross and Operating Margins hit their highest levels in the history of the company,” said Harold Boyanovsky, CNH President and Chief Executive Officer. “That’s a solid track record, achieved through constant focus on our brands, our products and our results.

Our Agricultural Equipment business growth continued in the quarter, especially in the cash grain segments. Sales of Construction Equipment were lower than fourth quarter 2007 as global markets declined precipitously, leading us to substantially reduce production. In light of continuing volatility in financial markets and consequent uncertainty in the equipment market, we are preparing for a turbulent 2009 and expect the first quarter to be particularly challenging.”

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WARSAW, Jan 16 Reuters – Polish foundry maker Odlewnie Polskie ODPL.WA said on Friday it was filing for bankruptcy, becoming the first Warsaw-listed company to face bankruptcy because of currency options. In a statement Odlewnie said the filing was due to: “banking valuations resulting from the currency option deals which caused the value of our liabilities… to top the value of the company’s assets”.

Last summer the Polish currency soared to a record high against the euro and many Polish companies took out hedging contracts, effectively betting on further zloty appreciation. As the currency weakened many of them found themselves with losses which some analysts said could be huge. “The state of insolvency arose due to extraordinary circumstances caused by a rapid and unpredictable strengthening of the euro versus the zloty and by the speculative character of the currency options agreements offered by banks,”  the statement said.”In theory, those agreements were supposed to secure the company from changes of the zloty versus other currencies and in fact they exposed the company to a big risk,” it said.

Last month the Polish financial watchdog estimated local banks may need to take out as much as $284 million in provisions to account for client losses on currency options, which account for 155 million zlotys $49.33 million among Warsaw-listed companies.Analysts cautioned, however, that the figure could grow as the zloty continues to weaken. The Polish currency is down almost 8 percent since the beginning of December and has shed more than 30 percent since the end of July.

via First Warsaw-listed firm files for bankruptcy on FX options | Industries | Industrials, Materials & Utilities | Reuters.

JCB warned that its sales could fall a further 25 per cent this year, on top of a decline of about 20 per cent in 2008, while also announcing a further 684 redundancies in its UK workforce.

The extent of the slide in demand affecting Britain’s biggest construction equipment-maker is another reminder that the pace of the downturn in manufacturing shows no signs of slackening. View full article »

The reduction in orders is due to the global economic slowdown, Larne, Northern Ireland-based FG Wilson said in an e-mailed statement today. In December, the company cut 185 temporary jobs.

FG Wilson’s products are not very comparebly to Componenta;
Products

From 10 to over 2,200 kVA – from standby domestic use to power modules supplying electricity to national grids – we can meet your power needs

January 07, 2009
Moventas, producer of wind turbine gears and industrial gears, starts negotiations regarding personnel reductions and lay-offs in its Industrial Gears business in Karkkila and Jyväskylä.

The Moventas Industrial Gears business area will adapt its operations and starts negotiations regarding personnel reductions and lay-offs at Moventas Santasalo Oy in Karkkila and Jyväskylä.The extent of reductions and lay-offs will be specified during the negotiations. The need for personnel reduction has been estimated to be around 120 employees.

Industrial gear manufacturer Moventas Santasalo Oy employs 300 persons in Karkkila and 77 persons in Jyväskylä. The results of personnel negotiations will be announced after the statutory negotiation period.

Jukka Jäämaa, President & CEO, Moventas Corporation: “It is very disappointing that we have to start personnel negotiations in Moventas Santasalo Oy. The profitability of Moventas Santasalo Oy is unsatisfactory. Several of our customers’ projects in process industries have been postponed or cancelled during the last months and this has resulted in a weakened outlook in the industrial gears business. Therefore the cost structure of the Industrial Gears business is too heavy and measures have to be taken.”

For further information, please contact:

Jukka Jäämaa, President & CEO, Moventas Oy. Tel. +358 50 526 7665
Ahti Ahonen, Executive vice president, Industrial Gears. Tel. +358 40 506 2361

Moventas
Moventas is one of the leading experts in mechanical power transmission. The company designs, manufactures and markets mechanical power transmission solutions and services for the process and energy industries. In 2007 Moventas generated net sales of 291million Euros, representing 40% growth from the previous year. The company has over 1400 employees in Finland, Germany, Sweden, Canada, the USA, Singapore and China. European private equity investor IK Investment Partners holds the majority of the shares in Moventas.

Dec. 19 (Bloomberg) — Komatsu Ltd., the world’s second- largest maker of earthmovers, will slash capital spending on facilities used to make construction and mining equipment due to the severe business outlook, Executive Officer Kunio Noji said.

The Tokyo-based company will spend about 30 billion yen ($338.8 million) on plant and equipment used to produce construction and mining machinery, which accounts for 85 percent of annual revenue, Chief Executive Officer Kunio Noji said in an interview. Komatsu invested a record 70 billion yen in this business in the current period.

“We’ll need about 30 billion yen to maintain safety levels and replace old machines, but we won’t invest to expand output,” Noji, 62, said in the interview in Tokyo. “These tough times will probably continue next fiscal year.”

The slumping global economy and strong yen are threatening Tokyo-based Komatsu’s earnings outlook. Komatsu was targeting a fifth straight year of record profits this year until the effects of the global credit crisis undermined demand for construction and mining equipment, prompting the company to cut its forecasts on Oct. 29.

The company now expects to earn 2.38 trillion yen in revenue, 300 billion in operating profit and 190 billion yen in net profit.

Komatsu shares fell 4.5 percent to 1,073 yen on the Tokyo Stock Exchange